Goa vs Al Qadsia: prediction and stats
AFC Challenge LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Margao
The Footlab AI model makes Al Qadsia the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Goa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Qadsia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goa vs Al Qadsia?
Al Qadsia starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,519).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Goa vs Al Qadsia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Goa
4-4-2- 28F. Feuillassier
- 9Chiki
- 21U. Singh
- 5Álex Vallejo
- 44Muhammed Nemil Valiyattil
- 22P. Vishwas
- 3S. Jhingan
- 15Álex Zalaya
- 48Konsam Singh
- 14A. Sangwan
- 45B. Jackson
Al Qadsia
4-3-3- 20M. Humaidan
- 18Athbi Saleh
- 91A. Mbengue
- 92N. Kebano
- 25Yousef Al Haqan
- 28Jasem Al Mutar
- 3Moaath Al Dhafiri
- 4R. Al Dosary
- 13M. Bouchar
- 6Khaled Al Fadhli
- 33H. Youssef
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goa have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Al Qadsia have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fortis(away) | 2-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dempo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fortis(home) | 3-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Nasar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Al Kuwait(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Goa score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Qadsia score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goa | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Qadsia | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Goa vs Al Qadsia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goa vs Al Qadsia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Qadsia the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Goa.
- Where and when is Goa vs Al Qadsia played?
- Goa vs Al Qadsia is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the AFC Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.