Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Górnik Polkowice played?

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Górnik Polkowice is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój

Goczałkowice Zdrój

Górnik Polkowice

The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Górnik Polkowice?

Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,737).

Goczałkowice Zdrój win36 %

Draw26 %

Górnik Polkowice win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Goczałkowice Zdrój
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Nysa(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

Górnik Polkowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Rakow II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2026	Górnik Polkowice 0-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 27, 2025	Goczałkowice Zdrój 0-0 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Apr 26, 2025	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-1 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 28, 2024	Górnik Polkowice 0-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Mar 23, 2024	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-1 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 27, 2023	Górnik Polkowice 1-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Goczałkowice Zdrój	0.9	1.5	4	7/15	8/15
Górnik Polkowice	2.3	2.1	3	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Górnik Polkowice	5	2	2	1	11	10	8
14	Goczałkowice Zdrój	5	1	1	3	4	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Górnik Polkowice?: The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Górnik Polkowice played?: Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Górnik Polkowice is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.