Stal Brzeg vs Odra Bytom Odrzański: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg
The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Stal Brzeg (1,629) and Odra Bytom Odrzański (1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Stal Brzeg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Odra Bytom Odrzański win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 1-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Stal Brzeg 0-1 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Stal Brzeg on May 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
- Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Odra Bytom Odrzański played?
- Stal Brzeg vs Odra Bytom Odrzański is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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