Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój
The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 17, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 0-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 4, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 5-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
- Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?
- Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsKluczbork
- Apr 17, 2027Stal BrzegvsROW Rybnik
- Apr 17, 2027Stilon GorzówvsCarina Gubin
- Apr 17, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsBarycz Sułów
- Apr 17, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsWarta Gorzów
- Apr 17, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsGórnik Polkowice
- Apr 17, 2027Sparta KatowicevsMiedź Legnica II
- Apr 17, 2027SłowianinvsZaglebie Sosnowiec