Ślęza Wrocław vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kompleks Piłkarski 1KS Ślęza Wrocław, Wrocław
The Footlab model makes Ślęza Wrocław the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ślęza Wrocław vs Warta Gorzów?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Ślęza Wrocław (1,730) and Warta Gorzów (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ślęza Wrocław have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ślęza Wrocław win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Warta Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław 0-0 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Warta Gorzów 4-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 0-0 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Warta Gorzów 1-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Warta Gorzów 5-0 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Ślęza Wrocław 4-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Ślęza Wrocław vs Warta Gorzów on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ślęza Wrocław | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th in III Liga - Group 3 (3 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ślęza Wrocław vs Warta Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Ślęza Wrocław the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Warta Gorzów.
- Where and when is Ślęza Wrocław vs Warta Gorzów played?
- Ślęza Wrocław vs Warta Gorzów is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kompleks Piłkarski 1KS Ślęza Wrocław, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsKluczbork
- Apr 17, 2027Stal BrzegvsROW Rybnik
- Apr 17, 2027Stilon GorzówvsCarina Gubin
- Apr 17, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsBarycz Sułów
- Apr 17, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Apr 17, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsGórnik Polkowice
- Apr 17, 2027Sparta KatowicevsMiedź Legnica II
- Apr 17, 2027SłowianinvsZaglebie Sosnowiec