Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Jelenia Góra
The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 17, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 0-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 4, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 5-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
- The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
- Where and when is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsSłowianin
- Sep 26, 2026ROW RybnikvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 26, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Sep 26, 2026KluczborkvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Sep 26, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsSparta Katowice
- Sep 26, 2026Warta GorzówvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 26, 2026Carina GubinvsStilon Gorzów
- Sep 26, 2026Barycz SułówvsZagłębie Lubin II