Match

Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Stilon GorzówCarina Gubin

The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Stilon Gorzów (1,724) and Carina Gubin (1,717).

Stilon Gorzów win50 %
Draw24 %
Carina Gubin win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stilon Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stilon Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kluczbork(home)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Rakow II(away)4-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Carina Gubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stilon Gorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Carina Gubin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Stilon Gorzów 1-1 Carina GubinFriendlies Clubs
May 31, 2025Carina Gubin 0-0 Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
Nov 9, 2024Stilon Gorzów 0-3 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Mar 30, 2024Carina Gubin 1-5 Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 2, 2023Stilon Gorzów 0-1 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
May 24, 2023Stilon Gorzów 0-3 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stilon Gorzów1.71.249/158/15
Carina Gubin1.41.7111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stilon Gorzów sit 11th in III Liga - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Stilon Gorzów5212967
15Carina Gubin51134124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?
The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin played?
Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stilon Gorzów and Carina Gubin

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