Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Stilon Gorzów (1,724) and Carina Gubin (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stilon Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stilon Gorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Carina Gubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów 1-1 Carina Gubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2025 | Carina Gubin 0-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Stilon Gorzów 0-3 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Carina Gubin 1-5 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 0-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 24, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 0-3 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stilon Gorzów sit 11th in III Liga - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?
- The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin played?
- Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsKluczbork
- Apr 17, 2027Stal BrzegvsROW Rybnik
- Apr 17, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsBarycz Sułów
- Apr 17, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsWarta Gorzów
- Apr 17, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Apr 17, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsGórnik Polkowice
- Apr 17, 2027Sparta KatowicevsMiedź Legnica II
- Apr 17, 2027SłowianinvsZaglebie Sosnowiec