Stal Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg
The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for ROW Rybnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Stal Brzeg (1,629) and ROW Rybnik (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ROW Rybnik have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Stal Brzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 ROW Rybnik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | Stal Brzeg 1-2 ROW Rybnik | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2020 | ROW Rybnik 0-2 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stal Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik on Mar 27, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ROW Rybnik score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| ROW Rybnik | 2.5 | 2.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and ROW Rybnik sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for ROW Rybnik.
- Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik played?
- Stal Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsKluczbork
- Apr 17, 2027Stilon GorzówvsCarina Gubin
- Apr 17, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsBarycz Sułów
- Apr 17, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsWarta Gorzów
- Apr 17, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Apr 17, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsGórnik Polkowice
- Apr 17, 2027Sparta KatowicevsMiedź Legnica II
- Apr 17, 2027SłowianinvsZaglebie Sosnowiec