Zagłębie Lubin II vs Barycz Sułów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Barycz Sułów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Barycz Sułów?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and Barycz Sułów (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Barycz Sułów have 5, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Barycz Sułów sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Barycz Sułów?
- The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Barycz Sułów.
- Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Barycz Sułów played?
- Zagłębie Lubin II vs Barycz Sułów is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsKluczbork
- Apr 17, 2027Stal BrzegvsROW Rybnik
- Apr 17, 2027Stilon GorzówvsCarina Gubin
- Apr 17, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsWarta Gorzów
- Apr 17, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Apr 17, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsGórnik Polkowice
- Apr 17, 2027Sparta KatowicevsMiedź Legnica II
- Apr 17, 2027SłowianinvsZaglebie Sosnowiec