Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)FNB Stadium (Soccer City), Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab AI model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 4% for Red Arrows. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?
Kaizer Chiefs starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,670).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kaizer Chiefs
4-2-3-1- 47W. Duba
- 28Mfundo Vilakazi
- 5S. Mthethwa
- 39R. Frosler
- 7M. Shabalala
- 6L. Maboe
- 84Inácio Miguel
- 42T. Moloisane
- 48B. Cross
- 2T. Monyane
- 16R. Leaner
Red Arrows
4-3-3- 28Ricky Banda
- 35James Chamanga
- 10Joseph Phiri
- 6Paul Katema
- 17Ackim Mumba
- 34Saddam Yussuf Phiri
- 21G. Ngwenya
- 32Benedict Chepeshi
- 15Allan Kapila
- 30Kebson Kamanga
- 16Charles Kalumba
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaizer Chiefs have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Red Arrows have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Golden Arrows(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Inate Rouge(away) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inate Rouge(home) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kaizer Chiefs score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Red Arrows score 1.2 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Red Arrows | 1.2 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 4% for Red Arrows.
- Where and when is Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows played?
- Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at FNB Stadium (Soccer City), in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.