Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin played?

Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze

Pogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gornik Zabrze (2,041) and Pogon Szczecin (1,993).

Gornik Zabrze win50 %

Draw26 %

Pogon Szczecin win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gornik Zabrze
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Monaco(home)	2-3	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(home)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(away)	0-1	UEFA Europa League

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Aug 17, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 0-3 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Feb 7, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 3-0 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2024	Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
May 25, 2024	Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Dec 5, 2023	Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Gornik Zabrze	Cup

Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze	1.6	1.3	2	10/15	9/15
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	7	3	9
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin?: The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin played?: Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.