Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice played?

Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok

Jagiellonia

Piast Gliwice

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,917).

Jagiellonia win52 %

Draw25 %

Piast Gliwice win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

Piast Gliwice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(home)	3-4	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Lech Poznan(away)	0-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	0-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jagiellonia win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Piast Gliwice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Jagiellonia 1-2 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Sep 13, 2025	Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Apr 6, 2025	Jagiellonia 1-1 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Sep 29, 2024	Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
May 18, 2024	Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Nov 24, 2023	Jagiellonia 0-0 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15
Piast Gliwice	1.4	1.6	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	8	13	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Piast Gliwice.
Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice played?: Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.