Korona Kielce vs Wieczysta Kraków: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Wieczysta Kraków?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,947) and Wieczysta Kraków (1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Wieczysta Kraków have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Wieczysta Kraków?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Wieczysta Kraków.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Wieczysta Kraków played?
- Korona Kielce vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027JagielloniavsPiast Gliwice
- May 22, 2027Slask WroclawvsWisla Plock
- May 22, 2027Wisla KrakowvsZaglebie Lubin
- May 22, 2027Legia WarszawavsGKS Katowice
- May 22, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsPogon Szczecin
- May 22, 2027Lech PoznanvsMotor Lublin
- May 22, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsRadomiak Radom
- May 22, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsCracovia Krakow