Match

Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa

Raków CzęstochowaRadomiak Radom

The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom?

Raków Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,900).

Raków Częstochowa win62 %
Draw21 %
Radomiak Radom win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Hammarby FF(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hammarby FF(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026AEL(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gornik Zabrze(home)1-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026GKS Katowice(away)1-3Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Radomiak Radom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Aug 3, 2025Radomiak Radom 3-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Apr 12, 2025Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Oct 5, 2024Radomiak Radom 0-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Apr 5, 2024Radomiak Radom 2-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Oct 1, 2023Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa1.71.359/1510/15
Radomiak Radom1.22.0311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Radomiak Radom51134124
18Raków Częstochowa3003360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom?
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Radomiak Radom.
Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom played?
Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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