Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom?
Raków Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Radomiak Radom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 3-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 0-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 2-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom?
- The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Radomiak Radom.
- Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom played?
- Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027JagielloniavsPiast Gliwice
- May 22, 2027Slask WroclawvsWisla Plock
- May 22, 2027Wisla KrakowvsZaglebie Lubin
- May 22, 2027Legia WarszawavsGKS Katowice
- May 22, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsPogon Szczecin
- May 22, 2027Korona KielcevsWieczysta Kraków
- May 22, 2027Lech PoznanvsMotor Lublin
- May 22, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsCracovia Krakow