Match

Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa

Legia WarszawaGKS Katowice

The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for GKS Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Legia Warszawa (2,059) and GKS Katowice (2,011).

Legia Warszawa win55 %
Draw24 %
GKS Katowice win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; GKS Katowice have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Legia Warszawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)5-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-0Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Plock(home)5-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Motor Lublin(away)0-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 12, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv(home)2-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv(away)0-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)3-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Legia Warszawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 GKS Katowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2026GKS Katowice 1-1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Aug 10, 2025Legia Warszawa 3-1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Apr 26, 2025GKS Katowice 1-3 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Oct 27, 2024Legia Warszawa 4-1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Mar 24, 2023Legia Warszawa 3-0 GKS KatowiceFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Legia Warszawa on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Legia Warszawa1.90.777/157/15
GKS Katowice1.91.148/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and GKS Katowice sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Legia Warszawa532011311
8GKS Katowice4202946

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice?
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for GKS Katowice.
Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice played?
Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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