Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for GKS Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Legia Warszawa (2,059) and GKS Katowice (2,011).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; GKS Katowice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Legia Warszawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 GKS Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | GKS Katowice 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Legia Warszawa 3-1 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 26, 2025 | GKS Katowice 1-3 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 4-1 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Legia Warszawa 3-0 GKS Katowice | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Legia Warszawa on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and GKS Katowice sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for GKS Katowice.
- Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice played?
- Legia Warszawa vs GKS Katowice is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027JagielloniavsPiast Gliwice
- May 22, 2027Slask WroclawvsWisla Plock
- May 22, 2027Wisla KrakowvsZaglebie Lubin
- May 22, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsPogon Szczecin
- May 22, 2027Korona KielcevsWieczysta Kraków
- May 22, 2027Lech PoznanvsMotor Lublin
- May 22, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsRadomiak Radom
- May 22, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsCracovia Krakow