Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa played?

Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze

Raków Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Gornik Zabrze (2,041) and Raków Częstochowa (2,034).

Gornik Zabrze win45 %

Draw25 %

Raków Częstochowa win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gornik Zabrze
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Monaco(home)	2-3	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(home)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(away)	0-1	UEFA Europa League

Raków Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	HNK Hajduk Split(away)	2-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Hammarby FF(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hammarby FF(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Raków Częstochowa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Gornik Zabrze 2-0 Raków Częstochowa	Cup
Mar 15, 2026	Gornik Zabrze 3-1 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Sep 15, 2025	Raków Częstochowa 0-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Feb 21, 2025	Raków Częstochowa 1-0 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Aug 18, 2024	Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Apr 19, 2024	Raków Częstochowa 0-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze	1.6	1.3	2	10/15	9/15
Raków Częstochowa	1.7	1.3	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	7	3	9
18	Raków Częstochowa	3	0	0	3	3	6	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?: The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa played?: Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.