Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce played?

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

Korona Kielce

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,930) and Korona Kielce (1,943).

Motor Lublin win42 %

Draw26 %

Korona Kielce win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Jagiellonia(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 17, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Motor Lublin win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce 1-1 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Feb 28, 2026	Motor Lublin 2-0 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Aug 23, 2025	Korona Kielce 2-0 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Feb 9, 2025	Korona Kielce 1-0 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Aug 4, 2024	Motor Lublin 1-1 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Jun 22, 2024	Korona Kielce 1-1 Motor Lublin	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15
Korona Kielce	0.9	0.9	4	7/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce?: The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Korona Kielce.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce played?: Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.