Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Wisla Krakow (1,984) and Pogon Szczecin (1,993).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wisla Krakow win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pogon Szczecin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 3-3 Wisla Krakow | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2024 | Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Wisla Krakow | Cup |
| Mar 18, 2022 | Pogon Szczecin 4-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 0-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 2-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?
- The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Pogon Szczecin.
- Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin played?
- Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027JagielloniavsLech Poznan
- Feb 20, 2027Legia WarszawavsPiast Gliwice
- Feb 20, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsRaków Częstochowa
- Feb 20, 2027Wisla PlockvsGKS Katowice
- Feb 20, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsRadomiak Radom
- Feb 20, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsSlask Wroclaw
- Feb 20, 2027Motor LublinvsKorona Kielce
- Feb 20, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsCracovia Krakow