Match

Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków

Wisla KrakowPogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Wisla Krakow (1,984) and Pogon Szczecin (1,993).

Wisla Krakow win46 %
Draw26 %
Pogon Szczecin win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Plock(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)3-4Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026GKS Katowice(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Motor Lublin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026Sturm Graz(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wisla Krakow win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Oct 11, 2025Pogon Szczecin 3-3 Wisla KrakowFriendlies Clubs
May 2, 2024Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Wisla KrakowCup
Mar 18, 2022Pogon Szczecin 4-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Sep 26, 2021Wisla Krakow 0-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Feb 19, 2021Wisla Krakow 2-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisla Krakow1.91.268/159/15
Pogon Szczecin1.41.347/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pogon Szczecin4211747
7Wisla Krakow521210107

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?
The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin played?
Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wisla Krakow and Pogon Szczecin

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