Match

Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa

Legia WarszawaPiast Gliwice

The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice?

Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,917).

Legia Warszawa win58 %
Draw23 %
Piast Gliwice win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Legia Warszawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)5-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-0Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-4Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)4-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)0-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Legia Warszawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Piast Gliwice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Piast Gliwice 1-1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Dec 14, 2025Legia Warszawa 0-1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
Dec 6, 2025Piast Gliwice 2-0 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Feb 8, 2025Piast Gliwice 1-0 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Jan 18, 2025Piast Gliwice 0-0 Legia WarszawaFriendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2024Legia Warszawa 1-2 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Legia Warszawa1.90.777/157/15
Piast Gliwice1.41.648/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Legia Warszawa532011311
14Piast Gliwice51138134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice?
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Piast Gliwice.
Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice played?
Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Legia Warszawa and Piast Gliwice

Ready to know everything about football?