Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice?
Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Legia Warszawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Piast Gliwice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Legia Warszawa 0-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 2-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 1-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Legia Warszawa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 1-2 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Piast Gliwice.
- Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice played?
- Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027JagielloniavsLech Poznan
- Feb 20, 2027Wisla KrakowvsPogon Szczecin
- Feb 20, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsRaków Częstochowa
- Feb 20, 2027Wisla PlockvsGKS Katowice
- Feb 20, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsRadomiak Radom
- Feb 20, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsSlask Wroclaw
- Feb 20, 2027Motor LublinvsKorona Kielce
- Feb 20, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsCracovia Krakow