Match

Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire

Basingstoke TownGosport Borough

The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,716) and Gosport Borough (1,727).

Basingstoke Town win38 %
Draw24 %
Gosport Borough win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Gosport Borough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Frome Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Uxbridge(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Yate Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)3-6Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Basingstoke Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gosport Borough win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Basingstoke Town 0-3 Gosport BoroughNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 18, 2025Gosport Borough 3-4 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 30, 2025Gosport Borough 2-1 Basingstoke TownFA Cup
Apr 5, 2025Basingstoke Town 0-1 Gosport BoroughNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 24, 2024Gosport Borough 3-3 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Mar 29, 2024Basingstoke Town 3-0 Gosport BoroughNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basingstoke Town1.71.749/1510/15
Gosport Borough1.41.738/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Basingstoke Town4202666
16Gosport Borough4112344

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Gosport Borough.
Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough played?
Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Basingstoke Town and Gosport Borough

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