Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,716) and Gosport Borough (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Basingstoke Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gosport Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 0-3 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gosport Borough 3-4 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Gosport Borough 2-1 Basingstoke Town | FA Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-1 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Gosport Borough 3-3 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Basingstoke Town 3-0 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Gosport Borough.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Taunton TownvsBath City
- Sep 22, 2026BerkhamstedvsHanworth Villa
- Sep 22, 2026Bracknell TownvsHavant & Wville
- Sep 22, 2026Chichester CityvsChertsey Town
- Sep 22, 2026Hanwell TownvsUxbridge
- Sep 22, 2026Poole TownvsWimborne Town
- Sep 22, 2026Yate TownvsEvesham United
- Sep 22, 2026Chippenham TownvsSholing