Grama vs Atlètic Lleida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nou Camp Municipal de Santa Coloma, Santa Coloma de Gramenet
The Footlab AI model makes Grama the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Atlètic Lleida. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grama wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grama vs Atlètic Lleida?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Grama (1,752) and Atlètic Lleida (1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grama vs Atlètic Lleida
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grama
Not enough data to predict the Grama lineup.
Atlètic Lleida
4-3-3- 9Soule
- 11M. Sidibe
- 8Samson
- 6Jordi Ortega
- 22Asier
- 14N. Sauret
- 20Joan Campins
- 24A. One
- 3D. Kone
- RRoger Alcalá
- 1P. Torres
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grama have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Atlètic Lleida have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tona(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañesa(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Grama wins, 1 draw, 1 Atlètic Lleida win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Grama 1-1 Atlètic Lleida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Atlètic Lleida 2-1 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Grama vs Atlètic Lleida on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Grama score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlètic Lleida score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grama | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlètic Lleida | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grama sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 5 matches) and Atlètic Lleida sit 7th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlètic Lleida | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Grama | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
A question about Grama vs Atlètic Lleida?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grama vs Atlètic Lleida?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grama the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Atlètic Lleida.
- Where and when is Grama vs Atlètic Lleida played?
- Grama vs Atlètic Lleida is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Camp Municipal de Santa Coloma, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.