Montañesa vs Vilassar Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Vilassar Mar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañesa vs Vilassar Mar?
On Elo ratings, Montañesa has 1,727 points and Vilassar Mar 1,661.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montañesa vs Vilassar Mar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Vilassar Mar
Not enough data to predict the Vilassar Mar lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañesa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Vilassar Mar have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montañesa wins, 2 draws, 1 Vilassar Mar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Vilassar Mar 0-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Montañesa 2-2 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2025 | Montañesa 4-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Vilassar Mar 0-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Vilassar Mar 2-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Montañesa 1-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montañesa score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vilassar Mar score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Vilassar Mar | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañesa sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (12 points from 7 matches) and Vilassar Mar sit 18th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Montañesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Montañesa vs Vilassar Mar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañesa vs Vilassar Mar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Vilassar Mar.
- Where and when is Montañesa vs Vilassar Mar played?
- Montañesa vs Vilassar Mar is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.