L'Escala vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal, L'Escala
The Footlab AI model makes L'Escala the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Escala wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Escala vs Tona?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate L'Escala (1,701) and Tona (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Escala vs Tona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Escala
Not enough data to predict the L'Escala lineup.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Escala have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tona have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Montañesa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 L'Escala win, 2 draws, 3 Tona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Tona 2-0 L'Escala | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | L'Escala 1-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tona 2-1 L'Escala | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | L'Escala 2-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Tona 1-1 L'Escala | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | L'Escala 0-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
L'Escala score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Escala | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Escala sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 6 matches) and Tona sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | L'Escala | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
A question about L'Escala vs Tona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Escala vs Tona?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Escala the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Tona.
- Where and when is L'Escala vs Tona played?
- L'Escala vs Tona is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026BadalonavsCornellà
- Oct 25, 2026PeraladavsCerdanyola del Vallès
- Oct 25, 2026Pobla MafumetvsMollerussa
- Oct 25, 2026GramavsAtlètic Lleida
- Oct 25, 2026MontañesavsVilassar Mar
- Oct 25, 2026Europa IIvsVilanova
- Oct 25, 2026MartinencvsSan Cristóbal
- Oct 25, 2026San Juan Atletico de MontcadavsL'Hospitalet