Where and when is L'Escala vs Tona played?

L'Escala vs Tona is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

L'Escala vs Tona: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal, L'Escala

L'Escala

Tona

The Footlab model makes L'Escala the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win L'Escala vs Tona?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate L'Escala (1,703) and Tona (1,758).

L'Escala win38 %

Draw27 %

Tona win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Escala have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tona have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

L'Escala
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Tona(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026	Lleida Esportiu(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Vilanova(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 18, 2026	Can Vidalet(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 16, 2026	San Cristóbal(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

Tona
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	L'Escala(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026	Vilassar Mar(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Mollerussa(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	San Cristóbal(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Cornellà(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 L'Escala win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Tona win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Tona 2-0 L'Escala	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Jan 10, 2026	L'Escala 1-1 Tona	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 2, 2025	Tona 2-1 L'Escala	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 22, 2024	L'Escala 2-1 Tona	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 4, 2024	Tona 1-1 L'Escala	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 17, 2023	L'Escala 0-2 Tona	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Tona vs L'Escala on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

L'Escala score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
L'Escala	1.5	1.7	1	10/15	10/15
Tona	1.2	0.9	6	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

L'Escala sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (46 points from 34 matches) and Tona sit 9th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	L'Escala	34	12	10	12	51	51	46
9	Tona	34	10	15	9	35	31	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for L'Escala vs Tona?: The Footlab model makes L'Escala the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Tona.
Where and when is L'Escala vs Tona played?: L'Escala vs Tona is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.