Europa II vs Vilanova: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal de Futbol Nou Sardenya, Barcelona
The Footlab model makes Europa II the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Vilanova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa II vs Vilanova?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Europa II (1,733) and Vilanova (1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Vilanova have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montañesa(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Can Vidalet(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Europa II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vilanova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Vilanova 3-0 Europa II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Europa II 1-2 Vilanova | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Vilanova vs Europa II on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Europa II score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vilanova score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa II | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Vilanova | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Europa II sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (45 points from 34 matches) and Vilanova sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vilanova | 34 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 56 |
| 10 | Europa II | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 53 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa II vs Vilanova?
- The Footlab model makes Europa II the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Vilanova.
- Where and when is Europa II vs Vilanova played?
- Europa II vs Vilanova is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal de Futbol Nou Sardenya, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.