Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?
On Elo ratings, Sporting Gijon has 1,902 points and Valladolid 1,824.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 19J. Otero
- 17Antonio Casas
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 20N. Iosifov
- 2Guille Rosas
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 15Pablo Vázquez
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 21J. Ponceau
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 24S. Jurić
- 7Luis Chacón
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 14Iván Alejo
- 12Miguel Rubio
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Valladolid have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Girona(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting Gijon win, 2 draws, 3 Valladolid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 2-4 Valladolid | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 2-2 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Valladolid 2-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Valladolid 2-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Jan 28, 2022 | Valladolid 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 8th in Segunda División (13 points from 8 matches) and Valladolid sit 14th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.