Ternana vs Sasso Marconi Zola: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Sasso Marconi Zola. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ternana vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Ternana starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sasso Marconi Zola have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Pianese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bra(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Imolese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Imolese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sasso Marconi Zola score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sasso Marconi Zola | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
- The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Sasso Marconi Zola.
- Where and when is Ternana vs Sasso Marconi Zola played?
- Ternana vs Sasso Marconi Zola is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.