Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on February 26, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Gremio won 2-1 on February 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 51′E. NoriegaGremio
- 56′Victor HugoAtletico-MG
- 66′MarlonGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico-MG have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Novo Hamburgo(home) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Itabirito(away) | 7-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Remo(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Atletico-MG 1-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Gremio on Aug 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 14th in Serie A (25 points from 21 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 11th (29 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy