Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on February 26, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Gremio won 2-1 on February 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 51′E. NoriegaGremio
- 56′Victor HugoAtletico-MG
- 66′MarlonGremio
Official lineup for Gremio vs Atletico-MG
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
4-1-4-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 9F. Amuzu
- 5J. Nardoni
- 37Gabriel Mec
- 99J. Enamorado
- 19E. Noriega
- 23Marlon
- 44Viery
- 53Gustavo Martins
- 7C. Pavón
- 1Weverton
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 7Hulk
- 28T. Cuello
- 10Gustavo Scarpa
- 30Victor Hugo
- 8Maycon
- 21A. Franco
- 16Renan Lodi
- 14Vitor Hugo
- 4Ruan Tressoldi
- 2Natanael
- 22Everson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico-MG have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Novo Hamburgo(home) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Itabirito(away) | 7-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Remo(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio wins, 0 draws, 3 Atletico-MG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Atletico-MG 1-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Gremio on Aug 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 18th in Serie A (31 points from 30 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (47 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy