Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on February 21, 2021 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Gremio won 1-0 on February 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 77′ThacianoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2021 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2021 | Botafogo(away) | 5-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Santos(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Coritiba(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 28, 2021 | Flamengo(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2021 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 11, 2021 | Corinthians(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Feb 5, 2021 | Internacional(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Ceara(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Atletico Paranaense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2019 | Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2019 | Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2019 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio on Oct 25, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (41 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy