Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 11, 2011 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio won 1-0 on September 11, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 65′Douglas dos SantosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sao Paulo have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2011 | Bahia(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2011 | Corinthians(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Internacional(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2011 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2011 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Figueirense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2011 | Fluminense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2011 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2011 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2010 | Gremio 4-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2010 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy