Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
The Footlab model makes Greuther Fürth II the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Bayern München II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Greuther Fürth II (1,813) and Bayern München II (1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greuther Fürth II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Bayern München II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landsberg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 19, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Greuther Fürth II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bayern München II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Bayern München II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Bayern München II 1-1 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Greuther Fürth II 5-1 Bayern München II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Bayern München II 4-0 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 11, 2024 | Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Bayern München II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Bayern München II 0-1 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Greuther Fürth II score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München II score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Fürth II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bayern München II | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greuther Fürth II sit 16th in Regionalliga - Bayern (3 points from 5 matches) and Bayern München II sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Bayern München II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II?
- The Footlab model makes Greuther Fürth II the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Bayern München II.
- Where and when is Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II played?
- Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.