Schwaben Augsburg vs Vilzing: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, Augsburg
The Footlab model makes Vilzing the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Schwaben Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwaben Augsburg vs Vilzing?
Vilzing starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwaben Augsburg have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Vilzing have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Augsburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Schwaben Augsburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vilzing win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Vilzing 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Schwaben Augsburg 1-2 Vilzing | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Vilzing 0-4 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Schwaben Augsburg 3-2 Vilzing | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Vilzing vs Schwaben Augsburg on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schwaben Augsburg score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vilzing score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaben Augsburg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Vilzing | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwaben Augsburg sit 13th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 5 matches) and Vilzing sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vilzing | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 13 | Schwaben Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwaben Augsburg vs Vilzing?
- The Footlab model makes Vilzing the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Schwaben Augsburg.
- Where and when is Schwaben Augsburg vs Vilzing played?
- Schwaben Augsburg vs Vilzing is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.