TSV 1860 München vs Ansbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, München
The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Ansbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV 1860 München vs Ansbach?
TSV 1860 München starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV 1860 München have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Ansbach have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Essingen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ansbach score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV 1860 München | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ansbach | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV 1860 München sit 6th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 4 matches) and Ansbach sit 19th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TSV 1860 München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 19 | Ansbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV 1860 München vs Ansbach?
- The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Ansbach.
- Where and when is TSV 1860 München vs Ansbach played?
- TSV 1860 München vs Ansbach is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.