SpVgg Unterhaching vs FC Schweinfurt 05: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for FC Schweinfurt 05. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Unterhaching vs FC Schweinfurt 05?
SpVgg Unterhaching starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Unterhaching have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FC Schweinfurt 05 have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Schweinfurt 05 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2023 | FC Schweinfurt 05 2-1 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 29, 2022 | SpVgg Unterhaching 4-3 FC Schweinfurt 05 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 23, 2022 | FC Schweinfurt 05 0-2 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 15, 2022 | SpVgg Unterhaching 1-1 FC Schweinfurt 05 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: FC Schweinfurt 05 vs SpVgg Unterhaching on May 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schweinfurt 05 score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 4 matches) and FC Schweinfurt 05 sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Unterhaching vs FC Schweinfurt 05?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for FC Schweinfurt 05.
- Where and when is SpVgg Unterhaching vs FC Schweinfurt 05 played?
- SpVgg Unterhaching vs FC Schweinfurt 05 is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlsport Park, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.