Aubstadt vs Memmingen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt
The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Memmingen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubstadt vs Memmingen?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,841) and Memmingen (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Memmingen have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Aubstadt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Memmingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Memmingen 2-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Aubstadt 0-0 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Memmingen 0-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Aubstadt 3-1 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Memmingen 2-3 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Aubstadt 3-1 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Memmingen vs Aubstadt on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Memmingen score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Memmingen | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Memmingen sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Memmingen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Memmingen?
- The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Memmingen.
- Where and when is Aubstadt vs Memmingen played?
- Aubstadt vs Memmingen is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsAnsbach
- Oct 3, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Oct 3, 2026EichstättvsWacker Burghausen
- Oct 3, 2026BayreuthvsLandsberg
- Oct 3, 2026BuchbachvsEltersdorf
- Oct 3, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsBayern München II
- Oct 3, 2026Nürnberg IIvsAugsburg II
- Oct 3, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsVilzing