Grimsby vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Chesterfield. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grimsby vs Chesterfield?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Grimsby (1,824) and Chesterfield (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grimsby vs Chesterfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 39A. Cook
- 4K. Green
- 30C. Vernam
- 28F. Cartwright
- 14J. Amaluzor
- 15G. Turi
- 3J. Sweeney
- 5H. Rodgers
- 17C. McJannet
- 2M. Kacurri
- 31C. Pym
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 18L. Marsh
- 31J. Randall
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 5K. McFadzean
- 23R. Boot
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Chesterfield have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | York(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Grimsby win, 1 draw, 4 Chesterfield wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Grimsby 0-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Grimsby 1-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Chesterfield 3-2 Grimsby | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Chesterfield 1-4 Grimsby | National League |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Grimsby on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chesterfield | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grimsby sit 11th in League Two (13 points from 10 matches) and Chesterfield sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Grimsby vs Chesterfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grimsby vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Chesterfield.
- Where and when is Grimsby vs Chesterfield played?
- Grimsby vs Chesterfield is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Blundell Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.