Chesterfield vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crawley Town?
Chesterfield starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 18L. Marsh
- 31J. Randall
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 5K. McFadzean
- 23R. Boot
Crawley Town
4-4-2- 14G. Di Biase
- 9D. Orsi
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 30Kai Jennings
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 6P. Farquharson
- 5C. Barker
- 12L. Richards
- 24A. Odimayo
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Crawley Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chesterfield wins, 3 draws, 1 Crawley Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town 2-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Crawley Town 1-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chesterfield 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Feb 3, 2018 | Chesterfield 1-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2017 | Crawley Town 0-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Jan 27, 2015 | Chesterfield 3-0 Crawley Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Chesterfield on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 7th in League Two (15 points from 11 matches) and Crawley Town sit 24th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Chesterfield vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Crawley Town played?
- Chesterfield vs Crawley Town is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.