Chesterfield vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crawley Town?
Chesterfield starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Crawley Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chesterfield win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Crawley Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Crawley Town 1-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chesterfield 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Feb 3, 2018 | Chesterfield 1-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2017 | Crawley Town 0-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Jan 27, 2015 | Chesterfield 3-0 Crawley Town | League One |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Crawley Town 1-1 Chesterfield | League One |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Chesterfield on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 16th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Crawley Town sit 15th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Crawley Town played?
- Chesterfield vs Crawley Town is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.