Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Pronsenbroek, Heerlen
The Footlab AI model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels?
Rijnvogels starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,823 vs 1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Rijnvogels
4-3-3- 9M. van der Meer
- 10Boris van der Wiel
- 22N. Haddadi
- 6Jay Zandbergen
- 8Jesse Driebergen
- 11Y. Kaabouni
- 4K. Michel
- 2K. Gómez-Nieto
- 5J. Scholten
- 26D. van der Plas
- 23D. van de Riet
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groene Ster have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Rijnvogels have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Groene Ster win, 0 draws, 3 Rijnvogels wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels 5-1 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Rijnvogels 3-1 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Groene Ster 3-2 Rijnvogels | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 17, 2016 | Groene Ster 0-2 Rijnvogels | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rijnvogels score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Rijnvogels | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groene Ster sit 14th in Derde Divisie (9 points from 10 matches) and Rijnvogels sit 4th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 20 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 9 |
A question about Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels played?
- Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Pronsenbroek, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.