Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, Nowy Staw
The Footlab model makes Grom Nowy Staw the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Grom Nowy Staw (1,695) and Kotwica Kórnik (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Grom Nowy Staw have 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grom Nowy Staw | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grom Nowy Staw | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik?
- The Footlab model makes Grom Nowy Staw the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
- Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Elana ToruńvsPolonia Środa
- Apr 17, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Apr 17, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsFlota Świnoujście
- Apr 17, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsKalisz
- Apr 17, 2027Gedania GdanskvsBałtyk Koszalin
- Apr 17, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsLuzino
- Apr 17, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsLech Poznań II
- Apr 17, 2027Lipno StęszewvsVictoria Września