Match

Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, Nowy Staw

Grom Nowy StawKotwica Kórnik

The Footlab model makes Grom Nowy Staw the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Grom Nowy Staw (1,695) and Kotwica Kórnik (1,634).

Grom Nowy Staw win50 %
Draw23 %
Kotwica Kórnik win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Grom Nowy Staw have 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grom Nowy Staw
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)3-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Wda Świecie(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Elana Toruń(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Noteć Czarnków(away)2-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Kotwica Kórnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Victoria Września(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kalisz(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Luzino(home)2-6III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Grom Nowy Staw2.02.025/85/8
Kotwica Kórnik1.12.119/159/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Grom Nowy Staw510410133
18Kotwica Kórnik50144121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik?
The Footlab model makes Grom Nowy Staw the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
Grom Nowy Staw vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Grom Nowy Staw and Kotwica Kórnik

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