Match

Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń

Elana ToruńPolonia Środa

The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,642).

19%21%60%
Elana Toruń winDrawPolonia Środa win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Elana Toruń

Not enough data to predict the Elana Toruń lineup.

Polonia Środa

4-3-3
  1. 7P. Mikita
  2. 9J. Wilczyński
  3. 4Jakub Kledecki
  1. 97F. Karmański
  2. 10B. Bartkowiak
  3. 23M. Stangel
  1. 15M. Pieńczak
  2. 38K. Gorecki
  3. 6Jonathan de Amo
  4. 2Michal Walczak
  1. 12M. Garstkiewicz

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:22 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Środa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elana Toruń
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Victoria Września(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 9, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Polonia Środa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Luzino(home)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 28, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(home)3-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Kalisz(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 18, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Elana Toruń win, 1 draw, 4 Polonia Środa wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Polonia Środa 2-2 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 8, 2026Elana Toruń 0-3 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 22, 2025Polonia Środa 1-0 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
May 24, 2025Elana Toruń 3-1 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2024Polonia Środa 4-2 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 16, 2024Elana Toruń 2-3 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń on Sep 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Elana Toruń score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elana Toruń1.51.7312/1512/15
Polonia Środa2.71.5410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elana Toruń sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (20 points from 16 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (37 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Polonia Środa161141432137
11Elana Toruń16556242720

A question about Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa?
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa played?
Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Elana Toruń and Polonia Środa

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