Match

Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew

Lipno StęszewVictoria Września

The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,708) and Victoria Września (1,691).

Lipno Stęszew win42 %
Draw25 %
Victoria Września win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lipno Stęszew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Środa(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Wda Świecie(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Elana Toruń(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Victoria Września
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-5III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Luzino(home)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Środa(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)2-5III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Victoria Września win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Victoria Września 1-3 Lipno StęszewIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 8, 2025Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Victoria WrześniaIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lipno Stęszew1.31.747/159/15
Victoria Września1.11.748/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Victoria Września51044143
17Lipno Stęszew50145111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września?
The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września played?
Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lipno Stęszew and Victoria Września

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