Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew
The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,708) and Victoria Września (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Victoria Września win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Victoria Września 1-3 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września?
- The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Victoria Września.
- Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września played?
- Lipno Stęszew vs Victoria Września is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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