Noteć Czarnków vs Luzino: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Luzino?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Noteć Czarnków win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Luzino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Luzino 3-0 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Noteć Czarnków 0-2 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Luzino 1-2 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Noteć Czarnków 5-2 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noteć Czarnków | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noteć Czarnków sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (9 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Luzino?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Noteć Czarnków.
- Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Luzino played?
- Noteć Czarnków vs Luzino is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Elana ToruńvsPolonia Środa
- Apr 17, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Apr 17, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsFlota Świnoujście
- Apr 17, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsKalisz
- Apr 17, 2027Gedania GdanskvsBałtyk Koszalin
- Apr 17, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsLech Poznań II
- Apr 17, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsKotwica Kórnik
- Apr 17, 2027Lipno StęszewvsVictoria Września