Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Chemik Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard SzczecińskiChemik Bydgoszcz

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724).

Stargard Szczeciński win45 %
Draw24 %
Chemik Bydgoszcz win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Luzino(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Środa(away)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Wda Świecie(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Luzino(away)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Polonia Środa(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)3-3III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński1.71.5510/1510/15
Chemik Bydgoszcz2.21.8210/139/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Stargard Szczeciński52129107
15Chemik Bydgoszcz50327123

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Chemik Bydgoszcz played?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Chemik Bydgoszcz is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stargard Szczeciński and Chemik Bydgoszcz

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