Kluczevia Stargard vs Kalisz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Kalisz?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,773) and Kalisz (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kalisz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Kalisz | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Kalisz sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Kalisz?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Kalisz played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Kalisz is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Elana ToruńvsPolonia Środa
- Apr 17, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Apr 17, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsFlota Świnoujście
- Apr 17, 2027Gedania GdanskvsBałtyk Koszalin
- Apr 17, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsLuzino
- Apr 17, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsLech Poznań II
- Apr 17, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsKotwica Kórnik
- Apr 17, 2027Lipno StęszewvsVictoria Września