Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Euroborg, Groningen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Groningen. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Groningen (1,937) and NEC Nijmegen (1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 33H. Hateboer
- 1E. Vaessen
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 9T. Chery
- 10D. Tadić
- 21T. Storm
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 1G. Crettaz
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groningen have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Groningen wins, 0 draws, 4 NEC Nijmegen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Groningen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 9, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 2-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Groningen 1-2 NEC Nijmegen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Groningen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 3, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 6-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Groningen 0-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groningen sit 7th in Eredivisie (14 points from 9 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
A question about Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Groningen.
- Where and when is Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Euroborg, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.