Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Telstar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Sparta Rotterdam (1,925) and Telstar (1,924).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Rotterdam have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Telstar have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sparta Rotterdam win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Telstar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar 1-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Telstar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Telstar 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| Jul 13, 2021 | Telstar 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2020 | Telstar 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Telstar score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Telstar | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th in Eredivisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Telstar sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Telstar.
- Where and when is Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar played?
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.