AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for AZ Alkmaar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Feyenoord wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate AZ Alkmaar (2,126) and Feyenoord (2,149).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1- 9M. Meerdink
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 11R. Daal
- 24A. Oufkir
- 14C. Stengs
- 8J. Clasie
- 3W. Goes
- 4L. Schouten
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 5M. Chávez
- 28J. De Busser
Feyenoord
4-2-3-1- 19Nacho Ferri
- 8G. Zechiël
- 34C. Vanhoutte
- 23A. Hadj-Moussa
- 10L. Valente
- 28O. Targhalline
- 35Mika Màrmol
- 26G. Read
- 4T. Watanabe
- 6J. St. Juste
- 1T. Ernst
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Feyenoord have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 4-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Como(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 7-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 AZ Alkmaar wins, 2 draws, 4 Feyenoord wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord 2-0 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| May 10, 2026 | Feyenoord 1-1 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 3-3 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Apr 5, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Feyenoord 3-2 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Feyenoord 2-0 AZ Alkmaar | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Feyenoord score 3.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Feyenoord | 3.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Alkmaar sit 2nd in Eredivisie (20 points from 9 matches) and Feyenoord sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 20 |
A question about AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord?
- The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for AZ Alkmaar.
- Where and when is AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord played?
- AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.