Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Willem II. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,214 Elo points against 1,785, a 430-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 52T. Vilhena
- 32V. van Crooij
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Willem II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Willem II win, 1 draw, 4 PSV Eindhoven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Willem II 0-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| May 1, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven 4-2 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Willem II 2-1 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| May 9, 2021 | Willem II 0-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 8, 2020 | PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II on Feb 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Willem II sit 18th in Eredivisie (2 points from 8 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 2 |
A question about Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Koning Willem II Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.