Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Sittard the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Fortuna Sittard (1,867) and PEC Zwolle (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Twente(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortuna Sittard win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 PEC Zwolle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 3-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 1-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 1-4 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 9, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 3-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2023 | PEC Zwolle 2-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 8th in Eredivisie (4 points from 3 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Sittard the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.