Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab AI model makes Fortuna Sittard the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortuna Sittard wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Fortuna Sittard (1,974) and PEC Zwolle (1,891).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Sittard
5-4-1- 25L. Zeefuik
- 23P. Brittijn
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 9A. Descotte
- 52M. Ihattaren
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 8J. Dahlhaus
- 31M. Branderhorst
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 17S. van Hooijdonk
- 11D. Mbayo
- 8T. Sommer
- 30R. Thomas
- 37Gilles van der Wal
- 25T. Oosting
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 33D. van der Haar
- 1J. Schendelaar
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortuna Sittard wins, 0 draws, 4 PEC Zwolle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 3-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 1-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 1-4 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 9, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 3-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2023 | PEC Zwolle 2-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 6th in Eredivisie (19 points from 11 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 14th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 19 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortuna Sittard the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.