Match

Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats

EredivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard

Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle

The Footlab AI model makes Fortuna Sittard the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortuna Sittard wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Fortuna Sittard (1,974) and PEC Zwolle (1,891).

47%25%28%
Fortuna Sittard winDrawPEC Zwolle win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fortuna Sittard

5-4-1
  1. 25L. Zeefuik
  1. 23P. Brittijn
  2. 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
  3. 9A. Descotte
  4. 52M. Ihattaren
  1. 3Rodrigo Guth
  2. 28Justin Quincy Hubner
  3. 6S. van Ottele
  4. 12Ivo Pinto
  5. 8J. Dahlhaus
  1. 31M. Branderhorst

PEC Zwolle

4-2-3-1
  1. 17S. van Hooijdonk
  1. 11D. Mbayo
  2. 8T. Sommer
  3. 30R. Thomas
  4. 37Gilles van der Wal
  5. 25T. Oosting
  1. 24N. Viergever
  2. 28S. Graves
  3. 3O. Aertssen
  4. 33D. van der Haar
  1. 1J. Schendelaar

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:36 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Sittard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Feyenoord(away)1-1Eredivisie
Oct 28, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)2-2KNVB Beker
Oct 25, 2026Excelsior(home)1-0Eredivisie
Oct 18, 2026NEC Nijmegen(away)2-2Eredivisie
Oct 10, 2026Twente(home)1-1Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026ADO Den Haag(home)1-0Eredivisie
Oct 28, 2026FC OSS(home)1-2KNVB Beker
Oct 24, 2026Utrecht(away)1-1Eredivisie
Oct 18, 2026GO Ahead Eagles(home)4-1Eredivisie
Oct 11, 2026Cambuur(home)0-1Eredivisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortuna Sittard wins, 0 draws, 4 PEC Zwolle wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Fortuna Sittard 3-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
Dec 13, 2025PEC Zwolle 1-0 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
Jan 26, 2025Fortuna Sittard 1-4 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
Nov 9, 2024PEC Zwolle 3-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
Mar 16, 2024Fortuna Sittard 3-1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
Nov 5, 2023PEC Zwolle 2-0 Fortuna SittardEredivisie

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Sittard1.71.7212/1510/15
PEC Zwolle1.22.228/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Sittard sit 6th in Eredivisie (19 points from 11 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 14th (11 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Fortuna Sittard11542181819
14PEC Zwolle11326122311

A question about Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?
The Footlab AI model makes Fortuna Sittard the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for PEC Zwolle.
Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle played?
Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fortuna Sittard and PEC Zwolle

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