Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Euroborg, Groningen
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Groningen. The most likely score is 1-1. If PSV Eindhoven wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (2,205 vs 1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 4M. Csinger
- 1E. Vaessen
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groningen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Groningen wins, 0 draws, 6 PSV Eindhoven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 5-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Groningen 1-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 4-2 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Groningen 1-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 23, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven 5-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 11, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven 6-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groningen sit 6th in Eredivisie (14 points from 8 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
A question about Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Groningen.
- Where and when is Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Euroborg, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.