Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab model makes Telstar the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Telstar (1,911) and Fortuna Sittard (1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Telstar win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Fortuna Sittard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 1-4 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Telstar 1-3 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 16, 2018 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2017 | Telstar 0-6 Fortuna Sittard | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 20, 2017 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 12, 2016 | Telstar 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 13th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard?
- The Footlab model makes Telstar the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard played?
- Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.