Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab AI model makes Telstar the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1. If Telstar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Telstar (1,947) and Fortuna Sittard (1,996).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Telstar
4-2-3-1- 11N. Þórisson
- 10T. Owusu
- 17N. Rossen
- 42A. Martha
- 27P. Brouwer
- 6Isaiah Ahmed
- 43M. Peersman
- 4A. Soualhia
- 16S. Valk
- 18G. Caschili
- 1R. Koeman
Fortuna Sittard
5-4-1- 25L. Zeefuik
- 23P. Brittijn
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 9A. Descotte
- 52M. Ihattaren
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 8J. Dahlhaus
- 31M. Branderhorst
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 4-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 3-4 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Telstar win, 3 draws, 2 Fortuna Sittard wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 1-4 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Telstar 1-3 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 16, 2018 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2017 | Telstar 0-6 Fortuna Sittard | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 20, 2017 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 12, 2016 | Telstar 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 16th in Eredivisie (9 points from 11 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 6th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 19 |
| 16 | Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 9 |
A question about Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard?
- The Footlab AI model makes Telstar the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard played?
- Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.